Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Prediction for how this World Cup will go from here

Let me lay out the prediction for how this World Cup will go from here — and how it should go — mixing desire and probability together.


With a clear understanding, though, that desire is one thing and probability is another.


Desire is entirely imaginary — indeed, it’s a dream that goes beyond limits.


Probability, however, is grounded in reality — it’s more or less what one should expect.


With the clarity that desire and probability may not even be related to each other at all — even so, let me say it anyway…


Quarter Final:


Morocco – France

(Last time’s semifinal has come around as this time’s quarter final) —

Morocco must win (also a Moroccan reply of sorts to the defeat of last time’s semifinal).


Belgium – Spain:

Belgium will win (not because Spain has no chance, but still…)


England – Norway:

England will surely win.


Argentina – Colombia:

Colombia must win. (Colombia does have a good chance too).

(If Argentina is to make it through, then this very night, something improbable must happen — they must lose to Egypt.)


Semifinal:


Morocco – Belgium:

Morocco must win.


England – Colombia: England must win.


Final:


Morocco – England.


I won’t say who will win the final.


But Morocco must win.


(Even though England — who for the first time since 1966 have a real chance of winning the Cup — are the more likely ones.)


No comments: